Rep.-elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) made waves on
her first day in Washington after being elected by participating
in a protest to demand a “Green New Deal.”
Ocasio-Cortez has garnered support from progressive groups
and a handful of Democrats for her proposal that sets a goal of getting 100
percent of the nation’s electricity from renewable energy sources.
While the plan is mostly a draft resolution for the House to
create a special committee to work out the specifics, it’s already generating
significant discussions among policymakers.
Here are five things to know about the Green New Deal.
Aspirational goals
The plan, as outlined in a draft resolution on
Ocasio-Cortez’s website,
has a number of ambitious objectives.
Central to her proposal is the goal of working toward using
nothing but renewable energy for electricity generation. That would mean wind,
solar, biomass and geothermal are in, while coal, natural gas, oil and nuclear
power are completely out.
The resolution makes no mention of whether it includes
hydropower, the nation’s largest source of renewable energy, though it is often
criticized by environmentalists because of the impact of dams and
infrastructure have on landscapes and ecosystems.
The plan calls for transitioning to renewables within 10
years of passing Green New Deal legislation.
The policy is meant to do the United States’ part to respond
to the urgent needs to slash greenhouse gas emissions. A United Nations report
last month recommended cutting worldwide greenhouse gases by almost half by
2030 to avoid catastrophic effects of climate change.
Ocasio-Cortez’s resolution, however, doesn’t call for a
mandate for renewable energy. It also doesn’t specify how the U.S. should wean
itself off non-renewable power sources.
The proposal also would consist of a nationwide build-out of
a “smart” electrical grid and mass energy-efficient building upgrades.
Nuts and bolts
Ocasio-Cortez’s resolution would create a select committee
in the House to draft a plan that fits the proposal’s standards. In that sense,
it’s similar to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi’s (D-Calif.)
call for a select committee on climate change, although that panel wouldn’t
have the same explicit assignment.
Such a dramatic energy transition would undoubtedly come
with an exorbitant price tag. It would involve a massive build-out of new
electric generation, transmission and storage, and it would likely necessitate
new technologies, particularly for storage, since wind and solar cannot always
generate power at all times of the day.
The United States got only 17 percent of its electricity
last year from renewable sources, with 7.5 percent coming from hydropower,
according to the Energy Information Administration.
While some cities, states and countries have set goals to
completely switch to renewables, real-world deployments are practically
nonexistent at this point.
And since the Green New Deal hasn’t been fleshed out, no
comprehensive cost analysis exists.
A back-of-the-envelope calculation by Christopher Clack, a
physicist who has studied rapid deployments of renewables, estimated that
building out the generating capacity alone would cost at least $2 trillion.
“It’s a daunting task, and I’m not sure that the authors of
the Green New Deal fully comprehend how much they’ll need,” he said.
Critics say the transition would be impossible.
“One hundred percent renewable energy defies the laws of
physics,” said Tom Pyle, president of the Institute for Energy Research, a
fossil-fuel-backed conservative think tank. “It would be impossible to
achieve.”
Paul Bledsoe, a strategic adviser at the Progressive Policy
Institute, said it does a disservice to the real seriousness of climate change
to set such an unrealistic goal.
“I understand the value of aspirational goals,” he said. “My
personal view is, that undermines the credibility of the effort.”
Who supports it
In addition to Ocasio-Cortez, a driving force behind the
proposal is the Sunrise Movement, a youth organization pushing for aggressive
climate and renewable energy policies, and lawmakers who support them.
The proposal faces political problems. Just 12 House
Democrats in the new Congress have backed the resolution.
The supporters are Reps. Jared Huffman (Calif.), Ro Khanna (Calif.), John Lewis (Ga.), Carolyn Maloney (N.Y.), Jose Serrano (N.Y.)
and Earl Blumenauer (Ore.)
and Reps.-elect Deb
Haaland (N.M.), Joe Neguse (Colo.), Ocasio-Cortez, Ayanna Pressley
(Mass.) and Rashida Tlaib (Mich.).
Many of the lawmakers backing the plan said they campaigned
in part on climate change, and that nothing less than the Green New Deal would
fulfill the mandate from their constituents.
“As a millennial, I firmly believe #climatechange is the
defining issue of our time,” Neguse tweeted.
“Pelosi should not only create this committee, but also appoint
@Ocasio2018 as Chair,” Khanna wrote on
Twitter.
Progressive environmental groups like 350.org, Friends of
the Earth and Greenpeace have also signed on.
“The United States has lost nearly a decade on making
significant political progress on climate change,” Janet Redman, climate
director at Greenpeace USA, said in a statement. “Our new leaders in Congress
need to make up for lost time. Heart-wrenching evidence emerges almost daily of
the urgent need for climate solutions that meet the scale of the looming
crisis.”
Potential opponents
While not many groups or lawmakers have spoken out against
the plan, it is sure to rile up various groups and industries if the Democrats
move forward with implementation.
“It’s a good plan if you want to fleece taxpayers and
ratepayers, because that’s what it’s going to do if implemented,” said Nick
Loris, an economist at the conservative Heritage Foundation.
Loris said if renewables could compete on their own, they
wouldn’t need tax credits or mandates.
“If you have to mandate its use, it’s a good indication that
it’s not a cost-competitive form of energy,” he said.
That kind of opposition means legislation to enact the plan
is unlikely to become law anytime soon, with the GOP holding the majority in
the Senate and President
Trump in the White House. No House Republicans have voiced support for
the Green New Deal.
Ocasio-Cortez’s resolution is also facing opposition from
some Democrats who don’t think a select committee is necessary, or don’t think
it should have legislative authority. Leading that charge is Rep. Frank Pallone Jr. (D-N.J.),
who is slated to be the chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee
starting in January.
Beyond renewable energy
The Green New Deal isn’t only a renewable energy policy. It
also would guarantee jobs for unemployed people who want them.
The resolution asks the select committee to take into
account historic racial, gender, economic and other inequalities and consider
including programs like basic income and universal healthcare, while having
labor unions take a leading role in implementation.
“What she asks for in this manifesto goes beyond
decarbonization and gets into a progressive wishlist to fix what they perceive
as all that ails society,” Pyle said.
The proposal takes its name from the New Deal, the 1930s-era
package of policies pushed by former President Franklin D. Roosevelt to bring
the United States out of the Depression, mainly through investments in federal
jobs programs.
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